Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout2009-01-14 HRA Packet AGENDA MAPLEWOOD HOUSING AND REDEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY WEDNESDAY, January 14, 2009 7:00 P.M. CITY HALL, CITY COUNCIL CHAMBERS 1. Call to Order 2. Roll Call 3. Approval of Agenda 4. Approval of Minutes June 25, 2008 5. Communications 6. Unfinished Business a. Comprehensive Plan update-Review of Housing Chapter Final Draft 7. New Business a. Metrostudy Report "Twin Cities 2008 Report and 2009 Housing Outlook" b. Discussion: What would the HRA Wish to Explore in 2009? c. Election of Chair and Vice Chair for 2009 8. Date of Next Meeting February 11, 2009 9. Adjournment DRAFT MINUTES OF THE MAPLEWOOD HOUSING AND REDEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 1830 COUNTY ROAD BEAST, MAPLEWOOD, MINNESOTA WEDNESDAY, JUNE 25, 2008 CITY COUNCIL CHAMBERS I. CALL TO ORDER Chairperson Pearson called the meeting to order at 7:00 p.m. II. ROLL CALL Commissioner Rita Andreoli Commissioner Josh Richter Chairperson Gary Pearson Commissioner Joy Tkachuck Vice-Chairperson Beth Ulrich Present Present Present Present Present Staff Present: Tom Ekstrand, City Planner III. APPROVAL OF AGENDA Commissioner Tkachuck moved to approve the amended agenda, adding "Update on Code Enforcement Officer" under item 6.a. and "Web Cast Meeting Discussion" under item 6.b. Commissioner Ulrich seconded. The motion passed. Ayes - all IV. APPROVAL OF MINUTES a. April 9, 2008 Commissioner Richter moved approval of the April 9, 2008 minutes as presented. Commissioner Andreoli seconded Ayes - Andreoli, Richter, Pearson, Tkachuck Abstention - Ulrich The motion passed. V. COMMUNICATIONS None VI. NEW BUSINESS a. Gethsemane Senior Housing Planned Unit Development and TIF Financing Request City planner Tom Ekstrand presented the staff report for the request from Presbyterian Homes of Minnesota and Gethsemane Lutheran Church to build a 111-unit senior housing facility. In response to questions from the commission on issues relating to TIF, Mr. Robert Van Slyke of Presbyterian Homes addressed the commission. Mr. Van Slyke explained there have not been any taxes paid by this property for the past 25 years since it was used as parkland. Mr. Van Slyke explained that under TIF, the property owner would pay the taxes on the property and then some Housing and Redevelopment Authority -2- Minutes of 06-25-08 of the money would be rebated back to them. Mr. Van Slyke said TIF then requires the developer designate twenty percent of the units in the project as affordable units. Mr. Van Slyke explained the projected rental costs compared to the reduced affordable rental rates. Mr. Van Slyke said the TIF reduced rental rate is planned by the developers to continue for an additional ten years through year twenty of the project. Mr. Van Slyke introduced Pastor Richard White from Gethsemane Lutheran Church and Greg Kinney of Pope Architects. Pastor White explained that Gethsemane Lutheran Church has agreed to the affordable rental rates for an additional ten-year period. Pastor White said the church has committed to create an endowment fund for senior housing that will be funded up front with this property so these units will be continued as affordable after ten years. Pastor White said the parking lot would also be shared with park visitors and the runoff will flow to a pond area on the south side of the property. Commissioner Tkachuck moved to: A. Adopt the resolution approving a conditional use permit for a planned unit development (PUD) for Gethsemane Senior Housing project. This PUD also allows the reduction in living-unit floor areas from 580 to 337 square feet for memory-care units and from 580 square feet to 566 square feet for assisted-living units. Approval is based on the findings required by ordinance and subject to the following conditions: . 1. All construction shall follow the approved site plan. The planning staff may approve minor changes. 2. The proposed construction must be substantially started within one year of council approval or the permit shall become null and void. 3. The city council shall review this permit in one year. 4. The proposed senior housing development shall remain for use as senior housing unless the city council approves a change in use. 5. The owner/operator of the senior housing development shall obtain a cross easement from Gethsemane Lutheran Church for access and overflow parking before the city will issue a building permit for this development. 6. Compliance with the city's engineering report by Steve Kummer dated February 13, 2008. 7. The city engineer shall explore the closure of Bartelmy Lane at Brand Avenue through 7'h Street and the posting of Bartelmy Lane to prohibit truck access. B. Approve the use of TIF for the proposed senior housing development. 1. The developer will make payment of $8,000 per year through the term of the district to defray costs that the city may incur related to providing services to the facility. Commissioner Ulrich seconded The motion passed. Ayes - all Housing and Redevelopment Authority -3- Minutes of 06-25-08 VII. UNFINISHED BUSINESS a. Update on Code Enforcement Officer City planner Ekstrand reported that Gene Johnson has been hired temporarily as the new code enforcement officer until Michael Samuelson returns from medical leave. b. Web Cast Meeting Discussion Commissioner Andreoli reported on a meeting held to discuss Web casting. The commission discussed this issue, related costs and possible future consideration. . VIII. DATE OF NEXT MEETING . August 13,2008 IX. ADJOURNMENT The meeting was adjourned at 8:12 p.m. MEMO TO: Tom Ekstrand, Planning Director Housing Redevelopment Authority (HRA) FROM: Jennifer Haskamp, Pulse Land Group DATE: RE: January 6, 2008 Comprehensive Plan Update INTRODUCTION On December 8, 2008 the City Council approved the Draft Comprehensive Plan Update. This action was the first step in moving the document forward to ultimate adoption and therefore the policy direction of the City over the next ten years. Although the Draft was adopted, there remains a bit of time in which the Council and other Commissions can review the document to ensure that the information in the document accurately reflects the goals and objectives of the community moving forward. As a courtesy, and in light of the timeline, the Council has directed Staff to bring the draft document to each commission to solicit any feedback on the document in its entirety. BACKGROUND AND TIMELlNE The Comprehensive Plan is a large document that includes eleven chapters each addressing a different issue related to land use, development, infrastructure or the environment The Comprehensive Plan Update process was structured to allow each commission to comment and develop the chapter that most directly related to the responsibilities of that commission. The HRA reviewed and commented on the Housing Chapter (Chapter 4) of the document at meetings in the fall of 2008. Since the HRA reviewed the chapter, the Planning Commission held a public hearing to review the entire Comprehensive Plan Update draft and recommended the document to the City Council. The document has been publicly reviewed at numerous meetings, and there were not any comments or changes made to the Housing chapter. CHAPTER HIGHLIGHTS The Housing Chapter is structured to identify Housing Goals and objectives, existing conditions followed by the future plan for housing in the community. The chapter focuses on providing a diverse housing stock, providing options for all members of the community including lifecycle housing, and responding to the changing trends and demographics in the community. The City has done an exceptional job providing a diverse housing stock, and that will generally help support a sustainable housing stock into the future. New concepts or ideas in the chapter include promoting green building and development and a focus on Iifecycle housing to provide options to an aging baby boomer population. REQUESTED ACTION Staff is requesting the HRA to review Chapter 4 once again to ensure that the chapter addresses the issues, concerns, or goals for the next planning period. Staff has also provided you with a copy of the Comprehensive Plan Update in its entirety if you are interested in seeing how Chapter 4 fits into the larger document Please come to the meeting prepared to discuss the Housing Chapter and bring any other comments you might have about the document It is our intent to pass along all comments/concerns to the City Council for their consideration and possible action. DRAFT Chapter 4: Housing Introduction As a mature community, Maplewood has many challenges and opportunities to maintain and provide housing choice and life-cycle housing for its residents. Maplewood considers its housing stock to be a critical building block of its neighborhoods and community development efforts. The livability and appearance of neighborhoods and the housing within them, is a quality of life indicator for the City. As a sustainable community, Maplewood will provide housing opportunities for its workforce, young professionals, families, special needs and seni~r:f;sidents as well as its business and corporate owners. Diverse housing supports economic developme?l'~Y~keeping existing residents, attracting new people from all social and economic classes and is essential f~[.:~~~talning an ever changing and developing population. Businesses need employees and employees nee9~gW~ing;j~n.; City has been a leader at providing for workforce and affordable housing and will continue to P;~~id~iopi)Qrtunit!~~i!~r additional housing for all segments of the population'x'i'oJ.;!;; Housing is the most significant form of development in MaPI:~BR:~;;More than 90 percent 6f'M~Bt:~00d'S 2030 land use plan is devoted to residential land uses. The housing ~~p.plydetermines ~~p iives in Maplewo9c9"Jhe character of neighborhoods plays an important role in shaping the char<\S!;f~nd ide?~i~'9cfthe City. The purpo~e of the Housing Chapter of the Comprehensive Plan is to identify housing:~E:l.~:q~impdto provide a foundation for local decision-making to guide residential deveIOpm;0i!.~}~r~developmenf7~~g~ in Maplewood. State Law requires that the Comprehensive Plan.;~~nta!n'~...~g.u~ing elemen.!_!n~t includes "standards, plans and programs for providing adequate housing opportuni.li:.~ to me~t.;~i~li~g andprp):9!ed local and regional housing needs, including but not limited tOl~.;:~se of OffiCial(;~m;OIS an9Imnd~~~Rla?ningto promote the availability of land for the development of low an9:mg~~X~!S:ig9ome hOU~i~H;'J~i96esota StatgJ~s, Section 473.859, Subd. 2c), The Comprehensive Plan mus~.r!$Rtinclude ab~~~ing implell"l~?tation program that describes "official controls to implement the housinglfl.3ment of the land~$~ plan, Which;~ill provide sufficient existing and new housing to meet the local unit's share oftH~rn;tropolitan~[7~n;;dfor low aQQirroderate income housing" (Minnesota Statutes, Section 473.859, Subd, 4). Th~.~g~S'!Q~;~baPt!1r!~~~~7~.g?M.<\piewood's housing goals and objectives, not on the background shaP:lf~i!~Jlse plans. Informatiq.non housing in Maplewood can be found in several places. chapt~9(Chapter 2) includes a summary of key community characteristics and recent . stock. of housing units by type. Purpose The intent of the . Quantify the . Describe the services and amenities that affect the quality and desirability of neighborhoods. . Set goals for affordable housing and a mix of housing types to meet the life-cycle housing needs of Maplewood residents. . Identify strategies for achieving those goals. Housing 4.1 DRAFT Goals and Objectives The City of Maplewood has developed housing goals and objectives. The goals and objectives are the foundation of this plan. The City's housing plan is based on these goals and objectives. Further discussion in the chapter will address how certain future decisions will achieve these goals and objectives. The goals and objectives are listed below. Goal 1 : Encourage that the quality of housing in residential neighborhoods of current and future residents. Objectives: to meet the needs 1. Have a vartety of housing types for ownership and rental for 2, Have a balanced housing supply, with housing 3, Accommodate all racial and ethnic groups in the 4. Promote housing development that respects the need for a variety of housing types and costs. 5. Promote sustainable housing that is e?~Z~X~ffiCient, funding programs for housing rehabilitation: in the City. meet the all at all the life-cycle, building techniques, and targeted 6. Have single-family detached houses with an average density of at per acre and multifamily housing with an average density of at least 10 units per acre. . 7. Promote the availability of a full-range of services and facilities for its residents, and the improvement of access to and linkage between housing and employment. Housing 4-2 DRAFT Goal 3: Accomplish adopted Livable Communities Goals for affordable housing. Objectives: 1. Maintain strong partnerships with the Metropolitan Council and other agencies/programs to provide affordable housing, support programs and services, and for assistance with the available financing programs. 2. Encourage future affordable housing units (funded by other agencies) as part of mixed-use projects and/or as a component of new owner-occupied multiple-family. Goal 4: Maintain city-wide housing goal of 75 percent Objectives: 1. Work with lenders and social service agencies to proyid$financialliteracy to encourage and increase homeownership. 25 percent rental units. programs 2. Concentrate housing redevelopment efforts tdW~rd providing life,cycle housing in Existing Housing Stock The overall condition of the City's housing units is good, although there are small, isolated areas that have homes with the potential to deteriorate. However, as the housing stock in Maplewood continues to age, steps need to be taken to ensure high quality ensure this, the City adopted a housing maintenance code that enables officials to require owners to basic repairs to their structures. The City also has a "Truth-in- Housing" ordinance that buyers make a more-informed buying decision. Construction during 1998 in Maplewood. As of April 2006, there were 14,643 that single-family detached units represent about 61 percent of the units. MUlti-Famil Manufactured Housin Total Source: US Census Percent 61.3% 33.1% 5.6% 100.0% Multi-family housing consists of 33.1 percent of the City's housing stock and manufactured housing consists of 5.6 percent. Housing 4-3 DRAFT Housing Types and Trends Table 4.2 data reveals that nearly 58 percent of the City's housing stock has been built since 1970. Percent 381 2.7% 1,000 1,410 18.3% 19.6% 1,642 11.7% Built 1999 to March 2000 Built 1995 to 1998 Built 1990 to 1994 Built 1980 to 1989 Built 1970 to 1979 Built 1960 to 1969 Built 1950 to 1959 Built 1940 to 1949 5.0% Built 1939 869 14,005 6.2% Total: Source: US Census 100.0% ';";>............."."."."i>: ','i::' Maplewood has traditionally had a higher than average percentage of owner-occupied housing units. The ratio of owner-occupied to rental housing rose slightly over the last decade. According to Table 4.3, more than three-fourths of the occupied and one-quarter are rental units. Table 4.3 Ow dR to' dU 't ner an en er ccuCle nlS 1990 2000 Percent Percent Owner occupied 69% 76% Renter occupied 31% 24% Source: US Census There is a diversity of styles and price ranges in the homes in Maplewood. Older homes on smaller lots provide opportunities for first-time buyers in the Western Hills, Parkside and Gladstone neighborhoods. Opportunities for low- and moderate- income households are available in manufactured home parks and in a variety of types and locations of multiple dwellings. The move-up housing market is strong with these choices available throughout the City. Buyers can find more expensive housing in the Hillside, Vista Hills, Highwood and Kohlman Lake neighborhoods. Housing 4-4 DRAFT According to Table 4.3, the median value of a home is roughly $14,000 lower than the rest of the Twin Cities. Table 4.3 Median Home Value, 2000 Median value Maolewood $ 125,900 Twin Cities $ 139,200 Source: US Census Table 4.4 shows that median rent is slightly higher in Maplewood than the rest of the Cities. Table 4.4 Median Rent, 2000 Median Rent Manlewood $ 688 Twin Cities $ 641 Source: US Census Housing Assistance Maplewood participates in severai programs that assist householdsi~ the.City. The Metropolitan Housing and Redevelopment Authority manage the Rehabilit~tion Loan Program, the Section 8 and Section 236 Rental Assistance Programs. In addition to the individual system of vouchers, there are four complexes providing subsidized housing for families and the elderly: Maple Ponds, 1816 and 1854Beebe Road; Maplewood Gardens, 410 South McKnight Road; Maple Knolls, 1880 Mesabi Road; andContordia Arllls, 2030 Lydia Avenue. Maplewood participates in s~v~rallbarlprbgrams funded by the Minnesota Housing Finance Agency and managed by local lenders. These irslHpe the Great ~irnesota Fix-ypFund, the Home Energy Loan Program, the MHFA Single-Family Mortgage F~~.n Program, the Home Ownership Assistance Fund, the Purchase Plus Program and the Urban Indian Housing Program. Developni~rlt OrdinarlC~s The Mapl~~ood Zoning Ordinanp7includes.s~~~n districts which permit single-family detached housing. The minimum lot~r~as range from 7,5Q8.to 40,000 square feet. The R-2 district also allows two-family dwellings, and the R-3 district perl'l1itsmulti-family dev~19pments ranging upwards from four units per acre. It shouid be noted that when this Comprehensive plan is adoptedlNork will begin on updating the City's residential Zoning Ordinances. The City has also adopted.l'l1~nY.brdinances that affect development and housing. These include a Shoreland Overlay District to protect sh9reland areas, an Environmental Protection Ordinance to protect areas of significant natural features (including wetlands and large trees), a Pipeline Setback Ordinance to protect buildings from pipeline leaks, and a Housing Maintenance Code. The City also has a "truth-in-housing" ordinance. Maplewood intends this ordinance to help purchasers make an informed buying decision. The ordinance also may promote privately negotiated housing repairs at the time of sale. The City requires sellers to have a housing disclosure report that discloses information about the condition of the property, and highlight any potential repair needs or housing code deficiencies. Housing 4-5 DRAFT Housing Needs and Trends The demographic information contained in this chapter and Chapter 2 of the Comprehensive Plan suggests that major changes in the composition of the populations will affect the City of Maplewood over the next 20 years. The large group of baby boomers, born between 1946 and 1965, sharply boosted housing production during the 1970s and 1980s as they formed new households. A generation has followed the baby boomers that is smaller in numbers. As these two groups move through their life-cycles, they will change the housing market. Some changes include: . There may be less demand for rental housing as the typical renter age group moves into owner- occupied structures. However, the elderly may be looking to move fromowner-occupied units to rental units - offsetting the decline. Household composition has shifted. The US Census Bureau.estimat~s~hat, between 1985 and 2000, 69 percent of the growih in new households will be in nontraditional households. Almost 14 percent will be in female, single-parent families whose median incom~ is less than halfthe regional median. Of these, more than 30 percent will be living in poverty. This may not only affect the housing market, but may also place a greater strain on the public to provide more affordable housing opti~ns. There may be less subsidized housing. The changing household structure is occurring when the future of much of the region's subsidized housing is unclear.purin~the 1990s, more than 5,000 contracts for subsidized housing units betweenthefederal governmentand investment housing owners expired. The federal government did not replace many of these contra~s.. Rehabilitation needs may increase. As the housing stock continues to age, residential properties will need more repairs and maintenance. The need for elderly housihg i~ increasing and may increase sharply as the baby boomers age. . . . . Livable Communities Act On November 13,1995 the Maplewood City Council adopted a resolution to participate in the Metropolitan Livable ~~~~~~i~~:i:~~~~:t~e:ct requires the participating communities to adopt housing agreements and to set an action A major focus of the Livable Communities Act is to promote the development and preservation of affordable and life- cycle housing throughout the metropolitan area. The Metropolitan Council has set the goal of an additional 333 affordable units in Maplewood by 2020. Housing Affordability Housing costs continue to rise throughout the region for a variety of reasons. These include increasing land and construction costs, utilities and taxes, declines in government aid programs and, indirectly, land use regulations. These cost increases greatly affect low- and moderate-incomes households. Changes in mortgage interest rates also affect the affordability of housing. Housing 4-6 DRAFT Financing The City, through its Housing and Redevelopment Authority (HRA), will explore all avenues for financing affordable housing, including: . Use of tax-exempt and tax-increment financing . Programs; including grants, loans and federal tax credits, for housing assistance, development and rehabilitation. The Minnesota Housing Finance Agency has the following programs: o Minnesota Mortgage Program o Homeownership Assistance Fund o Purchase Plus Program o Partnership for Affordable Housing o Entry Cost Homeownership Program o Low Income Housing Tax Credit o New Construction Tax Credit o Low and Moderate Income Rental Program o Deferred Loan Program o Revolving Loan Program o Great Minnesota Fix-Up Fund o Mortgage Revenue Bonds o Mortga~~Credit Certificates . Programs available throughtheU.$. Departmen{of Housing and Urban Development. These programs include: o Section 8Rental Vouchers and Certificates o Home Investrnent Parthership Program o Section 202 - Elderly o ~B~ti~n 811 - ~f8~icapped Program~fn~ r.wn~~.available through the Metropolitan Housing and Redevelopment Authority and through the Metropolitan Council's Livable Communities Act. . . Community Development Block Grants and other programs through Ramsey County. Maplewood already participates in several of the above-listed programs, with other government agencies and with developers. Rental Assistance The City, through the HRA, will continue to participate in rental assistance programs, including those available through the Metropolitan HRA and the federal government. Housing 4-7 DRAFT Energy Efficiency The City will promote energy efficient improvements in all types of housing units to help keep them affordable. Maplewood will provide information and, when availabie, financial help for both owner-occupied and rental units. Housing Diversity Most of Maplewood's housing is single-family homes. The Metropolitan Council hasi~goal cailing for each community to provide housing types other than single-family homes. The CitYIViIl.c;ontinue to work toward this goal through its land use plan and zoning ordinances. The City will make effort~toproyi8~ for the housing and service needs of the elderly and disabled. The City will also encourage development of housing and services which meet the needs of nontraditionai households. Neighborhood Quality It is important to assure that the efforts to provide life-cycle housing are a(;()?mplished so that it is compatible with the character of existing neighborhoods and with respect to the environm~~t.lt is also important to prevent housing in older neighborhoods from deteriorating. Much oflhish?using was built b~fpre Maplewood became a village, when building codes were not in place. There are deterforatil1g~~u~ing units scatt~r~d throughout the City. In the future, these units may become less attractive to home buyers, thereby depreciating housing vales. To address these concerns, the City adopts the folloWing policies: 1. Plan and design ne;y housing to: a. Protect eXisting housing, natural features,and neighborhood identity and quality. b. Assure thllrllare adeqUate Utilities, community facilities and convenient shopping. 2. M~intail1or strengthen the.character or neighborhoods and assure that all housing units are safe, sanitary, s~cure, and free from blight. The City also adopts the followillgneighborhood quality policies: 1. fhep,ty will work to prohi0the integrity and long-term viability of residential neighborhoods and reduce potential negative effects o(commercial or industrial land uses through zoning, site plan review and code enforcement. 2. Maplewood willrequir~ and enforce high design and maintenance standards for multi-family residential development. DeSign standards will include provisions about building massing, architectural design, off- street parking ratios and location, access, traffic impacts, landscaping, fencing or screening, trash handling, tot lots and parks. 3. The City will allow affordable housing in any location suitable for residential uses. 4. The City will assure that new development respects the natural environment to the maximum practical extent. Housing 4-8 DRAFT 5. Maplewood will continue to use its Shoreland, Floodplain and Environmental Protection Ordinances to assure protection of lakes, streams, ponds, wetlands, steep slopes and woodlots. 6. The City will continue to encourage the maintenance of its housing through its housing maintenance codes. The City's truth-in-housing program also should encourage housing maintenance. 7. The City, through its HRA, will participate in programs to help property owners with home maintenance and improvements through loans and, if available, grants. Housing Action Plan Table 4.5 on the next two pages lists activities that the City should out the Housing Plan. Housing 4-9 DRAFT Table 4.5 Housino Action Plan Action Responsibility Timing Funding Coordinate with Explore all options for financing HRA, Plan Ongoing CDBG, TIF, EBF, Land Use Plan, affordable housing MHFA, LCA, other Metro HRA local, state and federal programs Continue to provide rent assistance HRA, Pian, CC Ongoing Section 8 Program, Metro HRA to needy households other state and federal' programs Provide information and assistance HRA, Plan Ongoing State and federal Metro HRA to encourage energy efficiency programs improvements .... Provide dispersed locations for PC,CC .UI'~VII'Y None Land Use Plan variety of housing types, styles, prices ....... ...' Review and update Codes that PC, CC ,HRA, Ongoing Nbne Land Use Plan affect housing Plan .... Provide for the housing and service HRA, PC, CC U"YUII.'Y State andfederal Metro HRA, needs of the elderly and disabled programs Land Use Plan Provide housing and ser\li8~~ to un" "" State and federal Metro HRA n",:"vv .UI'YVII'Y meet the needs of non-traditional programs households ..,... Protect inte~ri.~~f,~nd prevent PC, Plan, HRA Ongoing None Land Use Plan deterioration in, existing neighborhbods Encouragehigh design and . PC, CC, Plan, Ongoing None Land Use Plan maintenance standards for multi- CDRB family housing Assure that new development is PC, CC, Plan Ongoing None Land Use Plan, RW, compatible with, and sehsltiveto, SC, DNR, CE the environment Continued on page 4.11 Housing 4-10 DRAFT Continue to review and enforce HRA, Plan Ongoing GF housing maintenance code Participate in rehabilitation and HRA, Plan Ongoing CDBG, State of Metro HRA, Ramsey grant programs Minnesota County Develop programs to help first-time HRA, CC Ongoing GF MHFA, Metro HRA home buyers Abbreviations HRA = Maplewood Housing and Redeveiopment Authority PC = Planning Commission CC = City Council Pian = Planning Staff CDBG = Community Development Block Grant Funds (federal) TIF = Tax increment financing EBF = Essential bond financing GF = General fund LCA = Livable Communities Act MHFA = Minnesota Housing Finance Agency METRO HRA = Metropolitan Housing and Redevelopment RW = RamseYWashington Watersh~d District SC = Soil Conservation District DNR = Minnesota DepartmenfbfNaturalResources CE = Army Corps of Engineers . CDRB = Community Design RevieW Board Housing 4-11 MEMORANDUM TO: FROM: SUBJECT: DATE: Acting City Manager Tom Ekstrand, Senior Planner 2008 Metrostudy Report on Housing January 7,2009 Members of the planning staff recently attended the December Sensible Land Use Coalition meeting and heard a presentation by Metrostudy, a provider of primary and secondary market information on housing and related industries. The attached report is for the HRA's information. p:HRAIMetro Study Housing Report Memo 1 09 Attached: Metrostudy Report: "Twin Cities 2008 Report...2009 Housing Outlook" metrostudy Housing Starts TWIN CITIES Metrostudy Metrostudy is the leading provider of primary and secondary market information to the housing and related industries nationwide. Services are available through an extensive network of offices strategically located in major metropolitan areas throughout the country. Our researchers drive the streets of every platted new home subdivision, inspect every home site and record primary data on housing activity every 90 days -- providing the most complete and accurate information on undeveloped and vacant developed lots, housing starts and closings, product and pricing. Services . Metrosearch - The most complete database of primary market research combined with the power and flexibility of an easy to use computer application. . Quarterly Executive Summary - Information with analysis on what is happening in the Twin Cities housing market, including statistical observations on the economy, demographics and market trends. . Quarterly Group Briefing - A meeting with an interactive format designed to provide an in-depth look at local housing market conditions as well as a unique opportunity to network with other Metrostudy clients. . Consulting - Based on our database of information and local market knowledge, we provide insights and analysis on your current and future projects through phone consultations, personal meetings and site-specific market stud ies. The Metrostudy Twin Cities Division Ryan Jones Director, Twin Cities Division Ryan Jones is the Director of the Twin Cities Division and has been with Metrostudy since 2002. Ryan started his career in the Chicago Division where he worked for two years as a market analyst consulting on the Chicago housing market. In 2004 Ryan was given the opportunity to open up the Twin Cities Division and has been instrumental in every aspect of the expansion process. Ryan is responsible for all operations there including surveying, consulting and managing local client relationships. Ryan regularly meets and consults with many of the top homebuilders in the Twin Cities market as well as lenders and governmental institutions concerning trends in the Twin Cities housing market. Ryan has quickly made a name for himself throughout the Twin Cities real estate industry and is regularly quoted in the Minnesota Real Estate Journal, MinneapolisjSt. Paul Business Journal, as well as local newspapers. Ryan is a graduate of the Business School at the University of Iowa. The Metrostudy Twin Cities Market Area Metrostudy covers all of the Twin Cities MSA: a total of 13 counties, including Wright, Sherburne, Isanti and Chisago as well as two counties in Wisconsin. Our trained research team drives over 10,000 miles tracking over 2,400 developments every 90 days providing the most detailed lot by lot census of new home inventory and lot supply in the Twin Cities. [!~!!Ostudy metrostudy Housing Starts Metrostudy-Who are we? · Nations leading provider of primary market information to the housing and related industries nationwide · Cover all of the Twin Cities MSA - 13 counties · Research team drives over 10,000 miles tracking over 2,400 developments every 90 days · Physically inspect every platted new home subdivision in each market every 90 days · Take inventory of every home site · Provide the most complete & accurate information · Undeveloped and developed lots, housing inventory, new home starts and closings, product and pricing [!~!!Ostudy National us Job Growth - Annual Rate 3 4,000,000 o 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 -1,000,000 -2,000,000 -3,000,000 Noy-9S Noy-OO Noy-02 Noy-04 Noy-06 Noy-OS National us Unemployment Rate 4 7.0 6.5 6.7% 6.0 5.5 Hi9hest in oyer 10 years 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 Noy-9S Noy-OO Noy-02 Noy-04 Noy-06 Noy-OS [!~!!Ostudy National MSA Job Growth Ranking - Through October 2008 5 Houston Dallas Washington San Antonio Austin Virginia Beach New Orleans Raleigh Charlotte McAllen, TX Pittsburgh Baltimore Oklahoma City EI Paso, TX Columbus, OH Minneapolis " , '" " ." " '" ." , :11 ." " ." ., :ill l!lfli ~ IllI!l! , - ." -15,000 -5,000 5,000 15,000 25,000 35,000 45,000 55,000 National us Single Family Housing Starts 6 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 o Oct-98 Oct-OO Oct-O 2 Oct-04 Oct-06 Oct-08 [!~!!Ostudy National MSA Annual Housing Starts 7 Houston Dallas Atlanta Phoenix Washington Chicago New York Austin Charlotte Raleigh Philadelphia Seattle Riverside Orlando Las Vegas Minneapolis : :. . .. o 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 National S&P Case/Shiller Home Price Index 8 20.0% 5.0% 15.0% 10.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% -15.0% -20.0% Sep-04 Sep-05 Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-OS [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities Employment Totals 9 1,850,000 1,800,000 1,750,000 1,700,000 1,650,000 1,600,000 1,550,000 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-DO Oct-Ol Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-oS Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-oS Twin Cities Annual Job Growth 10 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 o -10,000 -20,000 -30,000 -40,000 46,200 -28,000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities MLS Active Listings 11 10,000 12.0 70,000 60,000 10.0 50,000 8.0 40,000 6.0 30,000 4.0 20,000 2.0 o 0.0 3Q05 1Q06 31106 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 31108 ~ Active Listings _ Annual Sales -+-- Mas Twin Cities MLS Median Sales Price 240,000 12 230,000 220,000 210,000 200,000 190,000 180,000 Oct-03 $180,000 Oct-04 Oct-OS Oct-06 Oct-OJ Oct-08 [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities 3Q08 Annual Starts & Closings 13 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 o # ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ # ~ # ".i o.~ '" 'V ,.,~ Oi '" '}~ ".i II Annual Starts. Annual Closings Twin Cities 14 3Q08 Housing Inventory Housing Inventory = (Homes Under Construction, Homes Finished But Vacant & Builders Model Homes) Months of Supply (MOS.) = Represents length of time that the current supply of inventory will last based on the annual closings rate. Housing Inventory - Down 34% 3Q07 = 8,000 Units (9.2 mos.) 3Q08 = Finished Vacant Inventory - Down 330/0 3Q07 = 3,600 Units (4.1 mos.) 3Q08 = [!~!!Ostudy 15 Twin Cities Housing Inventory 20,000 10.0 18,000 9.0 16,000 8.0 14,000 7.0 12,000 6.0 10,000 5.0 8,000 4.0 6,000 3.0 4,000 2.0 2,000 1.0 o 0.0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ",0; ~ ~ ~ ",0; ~ ~ ~ ",0; ~ ~ ~ ",0; __ Annual Closings .""""""" Housing Inventory ~ Month's Supply Twin Cities 3Q08 Vacant Developed Lot Inventory Vacant Developed Lot (VOL) = lots on a recorded plat with streets and utilities in place, ready for vertical improvements. VOL = 34,800 lots 88 Months of Supply 3Q07 = 35,600 Units (52 mos.) 3Q08 = [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities 3Q08 Vacant Developed Lot Inventory 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 o ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ",a; ~~~",a; ~~~",a; ~~~",a; 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 "'"",,,,,,,. Annual Starts __ VOL Inventory ~ VOL Mos Twin Cities 3Q08 Closings 18 1,800 1,537 3Q07 "3Q08 [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities - Metro 7 Counties 3Q08 New Home Starts by Price Range 19 450/0 400/0 Townhome III 3Q06 1113Q07 1113Q08 50/0 350/0 300/0 250/0 200/0 150/0 100/0 00/0 <$199k $200-$299 $300-$399 $400-$499 $500-$599 $600-$699 >$700 Twin Cities - Metro 7 Counties 3Q08 Housing Inventory 20 Housing Inventory - Down 33% 3Q07 = 5,500 Units (9.0 mos.) 3Q08 = Finished Vacant Inventory - Down 350/0 3Q07 = 2,150 Units (3.5 mos.) 3Q08 = [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities - Metro 7 Counties Housing Inventory Months of Supply - County 12.0 10.0 9.1 8.8 8.3 8.0 7.6 6.8 Twin Cities - Metro 7 Counties 3Q08 Finished Vacant Inventory Supply 5.0 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Anoka Hennepin So"" Ramsey Dakota Carver [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities - Metro 7 Counties 3Q08 Vacant Developed Lot Inventory Vacant Developed Lot (VOL) = lots on a recorded plat with streets and utilities in place, ready for vertical improvements. VOL = 20,200 lots 64 Months of Supply 3Q07 = 21,500 Units (43 mos.) 3Q08 = Twin Cities Annual Closings - 3Q89 - 3Q08 24 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 o #~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ _Annual Closings -10 Year Average [!~!!Ostudy Twin Cities 3Q08 Annual Starts & Closings Projections - 09' 25 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 o -,,'0 -,,'0 -,," f;>" f;>" f;>" -,,'I> f;>'I> f;>'I> f;>'I> -"OJ -"OJ -"OJ -"OJ ",<:& 0.<:& .,,<:& '}~ "'~ o.~ .,,<:& '}~ "'~ o.~ .,,<:& '}<:& ",<:& 0.<:& II Annual Starts. Annual Closings Twin Cities 26 Population & Household Projections (Claritas) 2000 2008 2013 Population - 2,968,806 3,227,334 3,383,975 Households - 1,136,615 1,248,556 1,319,645 Avg. HH Income- $67,670 $80,832 $89,920 Ann. % Chanae COO' - 08') Ann. % Chanae C08' - 13') Population - 1.10/0 1.00/0 Households - 1.20/0 1.10/0 Avg. HH Income - 2.40/0 2.30/0 [!~!!Ostudy 27 metrostudy Housing Starts 28 rr!~!!Ostudy · Questions · Site Overview Analysis · Product & Pricing Detail · Housing & Lot Supply Detail · Absorption Projections · Let us know how we can help metrostudy Housing Starts TWIN CITIES Metrostudy - Terms & Definitions Start - When a previously vacant developed lot (VDL) has a slab or basement poured and is calculated as the decrease in VDLs from last quarter to this quarter Quarterly Starts- calculated as the number of homes started in the past 3-months. Annual Starts- calculated as the number of homes started in the past 12-months (4-quarters). Closing - When a home becomes occupied and is calculated as the increase in Occupied Homes from last quarter to this quarter. Quarterly C/osings- calculated as the number of new homes occupied in the past 3-months. Annual C/osings- calculated as the number of new homes in the past 12-months (4-quarters). Occupied Home - A home which is definitely lived in by someone. Signs of life in the home are apparent: window treatments, sheets in windows, lawn art, toys, etc. Vacant Developed Lots (VOL) - Lots are considered to be Vacant Developed when underground utilities are installed and paving is complete in front of the lots. Once Metrostudy can drive the streets, the lots move from the Future to VDL category so that home building can begin. Housing Inventory - Consists of Under Construction Homes, Finished Vacant Homes and Model Homes Under Construction - A house is considered under construction when the slab (or basement) is poured. It is carried in this category until all signs of construction are no longer evident and the house is considered ready for occupancy. This is when a "Start" is recorded and this home is calculated as part of the Total Housing Inventory available for sale. Finished Vacant- A home which is completely constructed and is considered ready for move-in, but show no signs of occupancy. Model Homes - The builder's show home, which is often staffed by an employee of the builder and has information on floor plans, inventory homes and community amenities. This is where Metrostudy surveyors collect the price sheets from production builders in order to update floor plan pricing. Month of Supply - Metrostudy uses the Month of Supply (MaS) calculations to evaluate the health of a market or Target Market. VDL Inv MOS = represents the length of time that the current supply of lots will last based on the annual starts rate. '? Calculated as VDL/ (Annual Starts/12). Housing Inv MOS = represents the length of time that the current supply of housing inventory will last based on the annual closings rate. '? Calculated as Housing INVT/ (Annual Closings/12). Note Housing Inventory includes Model Homes, Finished Vacant Inventory and Homes Under Construction. metr study Now you Metrostudy is the leading provider of primary and secondary market information to the housing and related industries nationwide. In addition to providing information, the company is recognized for its consulting expertise on development, marketing and economic issues, and is a key source of research studies evaluating the feasibility of residential and commercial real estate projects. Services are offered through an extensive network of offices strategically located in major metropolitan areas throughout the country. . AlbUQuerque Springs MEMORANDUM TO: FROM: SUBJECT: DATE: Acting City Manager Tom Ekstrand, Senior Planner 2009 Issues of Interest January 7,2009 At the onset of this new year, Staff is asking the HRA what matters of interest they may wish to explore in 2009. This is merely a discussion item to give staff direction as to whether there are any specific housing-related issues the committee would like to review this upcoming year. p:HRA\2009 Goals & Matters of Interest 1 09